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Tonight, UFC 118 comes at us from the TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts, with a great fight card and a few question marks around BJ Penn, most notably if he can rebound from his loss to Frankie Edgar at UFC 112: Invincible. Also, while the main event will be the rematch for the lightweight championship, it seems fans are more interested in seeing James Toney fight Randy Couture.
James Toney (No MMA Record) vs. Randy Couture (18-10-0)
The James Toney/Randy Couture fight is a rare opportunity to matchup MMA vs. Boxing. Of course, the fight will be held in the octagon, but it challenges the theory of MMA incorporating more tactical measures of combat sport rather than boxing's strategic striking game.
While the talk up to the fight has been fun, it's time for this to settle the score, and I believe we all know how this will conclude. “Whatever Randy tries to do, it ain’t going to be enough,” said Toney. Really Toney? Really? Because I believe in boxing, your opponent must stand back when you are rocked while a ref counts to ten. In MMA, when you get rocked and fall down, the ref tends to count in his head... while you continue to take a beating.
Here's my prediction for this fight. Toney will hop around looking for the haymaker, and we all know he hits like a bus. Meanwhile, Randy will hold back, understanding Toney's punching power, then go for a jab, push him to the cage, followed by take-down, ground and pound, and likely a submission. Fight over. Thanks for coming.
Prediction: Couture, Round 1, Submission
Frankie Edgar (12-1-0) vs. BJ Penn (15-6-1)
A rematch for the lightweight championship, Frankie Edgar proved to be faster than BJ Penn at UFC 112, and was elusive enough to avoid Penn's takedown abilities. If Penn does not step it up from his last fight, this should be another five round decision going to Edgar. Still, the speculation around this fight is Edgar in a loss while Penn regains his title glory with dominating power. I just don't see that happening and can't understand why so many people have considered Edgar as a rental to the belt.
BJ Penn has claimed he will be the best fighter the sport has seen, but he tends to lack the force necessary in the octagon to prove his dominance in the division. Edgar hardly cuts to get into the fight and ultimately has the better cardio to last the duration fight at full speed. If Penn doesn't come in swinging for the fences immediately, consider this to be a masterful tactics fight in which Edgar's technique and patience will earn him the victory, and earn Penn complaints.
Prediction: Edgar, Decision
Kenny Florian (14-4-0) vs. Gray Maynard (9-0-0)
This is perhaps the most interesting fight on the card. Kenny Florian has an opportunity to secure a victory and earn another shot at the lightweight title, but Gray's take down advantage and strength in the cage could prove costly in this matchup for Florian.
Expect Kenny to be throwing around a ton of leg kicks to prevent Maynard from shooting in for the takedown. With a height and reach advantage, Floridan could certainly keep the pace of this fight under his control, but should the gap be closed, Maynard could easily sway bout in his direction.
Prediction: Florian, Submission, Round 3
Nate Diaz (12-5-0) vs. Marcus Davis (17-6-0)
Marcus Davis is a former professional boxer. Marcus Davis has two losses in his last three fights. Marcus Davis is about to die in the octagon. Nate Diaz is not only bigger, but he has a better reach, better striking, better octagon control and excellent ground work. Unless Marcus can find a way to tag Diaz and finish the fight early, expect this to be the Nate Diaz show.
Prediction: Diaz, TKO, Round 1
Demian Maia (12-2-0) vs. Mario Miranda (12-1-0)
Maia is a fighter who prefers to stand back, picks his spots and work the ground game. Miranda is a fighter who, to put it nicely, recently annihilated David Loisau. With similar records, these two share very little in terms of fighting styles. Maia will be looking for a takedown and hope for a submission, but Miranda will stand in front of him and look to pick him apart with bombs.
Prediction: Miranda, TKO, Round 1
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